I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years
agi is now 2030+

So I’m here to bet Scott $5,000 that AI will not meaningfully disrupt the economy in the next three years, winner to be certified and paid out on February 14th, 2029, under the specific victory conditions I list below.


Quote Citation: FREDDIE DEBOER, “I’m Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI’s Effects Over the Next Three Years”, FEB 13, 2026, https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/im-offering-scott-alexander-a-wager